Settlement simulation
Austria vs Tunisia (1–0) · fixture #17721115 replayed through the PulsePlay A–E market state machines · 118 market instances · 21 gap-bites (settlement-integrity risks from the missing-data workarounds).
Per-archetype outcomes
A · Rolling window
69 instances
63 resolved
6 voided
B · Set-piece outcome
6 instances
6 resolved
C · Next-event
12 instances
12 resolved
D · Segment O/U
8 instances
6 resolved
2 push
E · Possession
23 instances
21 resolved
2 voided
⚠ 21 gap-bites
Market instances
118 shown0'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 0'window OPEN
- 5'window closed, no event → NO
0'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 0'window OPEN
- 5'window closed, no event → NO
0'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
- 0'window OPEN
- 3'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
0'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (0)resolved
- 0'segment OPEN
- 15'counted 0 corner → UNDER
0'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
- 0'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 28'next corner → P1 (after 1690.4s)
0'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
- 0'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 0'next throw_in → P1 (after 14.8s)
0'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (74%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 0'window OPEN
- 5'integrated home 74% → OVER
5'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 5'window OPEN
- 10'window closed, no event → NO
5'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 5'window OPEN
- 10'window closed, no event → NO
5'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
- 5'window OPEN
- 5'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
5'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (72%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 5'window OPEN
- 10'integrated home 72% → OVER
10'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 10'window OPEN
- 15'window closed, no event → NO
10'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 10'window OPEN
- 15'window closed, no event → NO
10'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
- 10'window OPEN
- 12'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
10'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (41%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 10'window OPEN
- 15'integrated home 41% → UNDER
15'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 15'window OPEN
- 20'window closed, no event → NO
15'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 15'window OPEN
- 20'window closed, no event → NO
15'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
- 15'window OPEN
- 20'window closed, no event → NO
15'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (1)resolved
- 15'segment OPEN
- 30'counted 1 corner → UNDER
15'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (48%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 15'window OPEN
- 20'integrated home 48% → UNDER
19'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
- 19'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 28'next corner → P1 (after 555.2s)
19'CNext throw-in: home/awayP2resolved
- 19'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 26'next throw_in → P2 (after 445.9s)
20'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 20'window OPEN
- 25'window closed, no event → NO
20'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 20'window OPEN
- 25'window closed, no event → NO
20'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
- 20'window OPEN
- 23'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
20'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (62%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 20'window OPEN
- 25'integrated home 62% → OVER
25'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 25'window OPEN
- 30'window closed, no event → NO
25'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
- 25'window OPEN
- 28'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
25'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
- 25'window OPEN
- 29'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
25'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (77%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 25'window OPEN
- 30'integrated home 77% → OVER
28'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
- 28'corner_awarded → OPEN
- 28'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
- 29'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
30'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 30'window OPEN
- 35'window closed, no event → NO
30'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 30'window OPEN
- 35'window closed, no event → NO
30'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
- 30'window OPEN
- 35'window closed, no event → NO
30'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (2)resolved
- 30'segment OPEN
- 45'counted 2 corner → UNDER
30'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (77%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 30'window OPEN
- 35'integrated home 77% → OVER
35'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 35'window OPEN
- 40'window closed, no event → NO
35'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
- 35'window OPEN
- 39'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
35'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
- 35'window OPEN
- 38'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
35'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (10%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 35'window OPEN
- 40'integrated home 10% → UNDER
38'CNext corner: home/awayP2resolved
- 38'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 39'next corner → P2 (after 50.9s)
38'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
- 38'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 41'next throw_in → P1 (after 171.1s)
39'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
- 39'corner_awarded → OPEN
- 39'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
- 39'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
40'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 40'window OPEN
- 45'window closed, no event → NO
40'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
- 40'window OPEN
- 45'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
40'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
- 40'window OPEN
- 45'window closed, no event → NO
40'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (62%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 40'window OPEN
- 45'integrated home 62% → OVER
45'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
- 45'corner_awarded → OPEN
- 45'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
- 45'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
45'AGoal in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
- 45'window OPEN
45'ACorner in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
- 45'window OPEN
45'AShot in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
- 45'window OPEN
45'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)push
void: segment straddles a period boundary → push/prorate
- 45'segment OPEN
- 60'straddles boundary → PUSH
45'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)voided
void: segment straddles a period boundary
- 45'window OPEN
- 50'straddles boundary → VOID
50'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 50'window OPEN
- 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 50'window OPEN
- 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
- 50'window OPEN
- 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (100%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 50'window OPEN
- 55'integrated home 100% → OVER
55'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 55'window OPEN
- 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 55'window OPEN
- 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
- 55'window OPEN
- 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (100%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 55'window OPEN
- 60'integrated home 100% → OVER
57'CNext corner: home/awayP2resolved
- 57'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 85'next corner → P2 (after 1717.1s)
57'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
- 57'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 69'next throw_in → P1 (after 761.3s)
60'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 60'window OPEN
- 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 60'window OPEN
- 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
- 60'window OPEN
- 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (0)resolved
- 60'segment OPEN
- 75'counted 0 corner → UNDER
60'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (100%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 60'window OPEN
- 65'integrated home 100% → OVER
65'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 65'window OPEN
- 70'window closed, no event → NO
65'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 65'window OPEN
- 70'window closed, no event → NO
65'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
- 65'window OPEN
- 67'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
65'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (60%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 65'window OPEN
- 70'integrated home 60% → OVER
70'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 70'window OPEN
- 75'window closed, no event → NO
70'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 70'window OPEN
- 75'window closed, no event → NO
70'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
- 70'window OPEN
- 75'window closed, no event → NO
70'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (36%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 70'window OPEN
- 75'integrated home 36% → UNDER
75'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 75'window OPEN
- 80'window closed, no event → NO
75'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 75'window OPEN
- 80'window closed, no event → NO
75'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
- 75'window OPEN
- 77'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
75'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (1)resolved
- 75'segment OPEN
- 90'counted 1 corner → UNDER
75'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (68%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 75'window OPEN
- 80'integrated home 68% → OVER
76'CNext corner: home/awayP2resolved
- 76'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 85'next corner → P2 (after 581.9s)
76'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
- 76'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 80'next throw_in → P1 (after 256.0s)
80'AGoal in next 5 minYESresolved
- 80'window OPEN
- 83'goal (confirmed) inside window → YES
80'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 80'window OPEN
- 85'window closed, no event → NO
80'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
- 80'window OPEN
- 85'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
80'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (99%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 80'window OPEN
- 85'integrated home 99% → OVER
85'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 85'window OPEN
- 90'window closed, no event → NO
85'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
- 85'window OPEN
- 85'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
85'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
- 85'window OPEN
- 90'window closed, no event → NO
85'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (3%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 85'window OPEN
- 90'integrated home 3% → UNDER
85'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
- 85'corner_awarded → OPEN
- 86'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
- 86'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
90'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 90'window OPEN
- 95'window closed, no event → NO
90'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 90'window OPEN
- 95'window closed, no event → NO
90'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
- 90'window OPEN
- 95'window closed, no event → NO
90'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (1)resolved
- 90'segment OPEN
- 105'counted 1 corner → UNDER
90'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (52%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 90'window OPEN
- 95'integrated home 52% → OVER
95'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
- 95'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 100'next corner → P1 (after 322.0s)
95'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
- 95'OPEN (scheduler tick)
- 99'next throw_in → P1 (after 262.2s)
95'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 95'window OPEN
- 100'window closed, no event → NO
95'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
- 95'window OPEN
- 100'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
95'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
- 95'window OPEN
- 100'window closed, no event → NO
95'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (97%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 95'window OPEN
- 100'integrated home 97% → OVER
100'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
- 100'corner_awarded → OPEN
- 100'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
- 100'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
100'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 100'window OPEN
- 105'window closed, no event → NO
100'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
- 100'window OPEN
- 105'window closed, no event → NO
100'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
- 100'window OPEN
- 104'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
100'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (44%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 100'window OPEN
- 105'integrated home 44% → UNDER
105'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
- 105'window OPEN
- 110'window closed, no event → NO
105'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
- 105'window OPEN
- 110'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
105'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
- 105'window OPEN
- 107'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
105'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)push
void: segment straddles a period boundary → push/prorate
- 105'segment OPEN
- 120'straddles boundary → PUSH
105'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (47%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
- 105'window OPEN
- 110'integrated home 47% → UNDER
110'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
- 110'corner_awarded → OPEN
- 110'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
- 110'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
110'AGoal in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
- 110'window OPEN
110'ACorner in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
- 110'window OPEN
110'AShot in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
- 110'window OPEN
110'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)voided
void: segment straddles a period boundary
- 110'window OPEN
- 115'straddles boundary → VOID
Workarounds applied (no real data exists): set-piece Lock = fixed 8s window after the award (no *_taken marker); corner-outcome phase = 30s window (no set-piece id); possession = self-integrated from the Possession stream (basis unconfirmed). The ⚠ flags are exactly where these guesses could mis-settle on real data.
