PulsePlayPulsePlayExplorerLive markets · World Cup + friendlies
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Settlement simulation

Ecuador vs Guatemala (3–0) · fixture #17977077 replayed through the PulsePlay A–E market state machines · 119 market instances · 23 gap-bites (settlement-integrity risks from the missing-data workarounds).

Per-archetype outcomes

A · Rolling window
69 instances
63 resolved
6 voided
B · Set-piece outcome
7 instances
7 resolved
⚠ 2 gap-bites
C · Next-event
12 instances
11 resolved
1 voided
D · Segment O/U
8 instances
6 resolved
2 push
E · Possession
23 instances
21 resolved
2 voided
⚠ 21 gap-bites

Market instances

119 shown
0'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 5'window closed, no event → NO
0'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 5'window closed, no event → NO
0'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 2'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
0'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (1)resolved
  1. 0'segment OPEN
  2. 15'counted 1 corner → UNDER
0'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 0'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 5'next corner → P1 (after 326.1s)
0'CNext throw-in: home/awayP2resolved
  1. 0'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 5'next throw_in → P2 (after 305.3s)
0'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (72%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 5'integrated home 72% → OVER
5'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 10'window closed, no event → NO
5'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 5'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
5'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 6'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
5'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (66%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 10'integrated home 66% → OVER
5'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 5'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 6'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 6'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
10'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 15'window closed, no event → NO
10'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 15'window closed, no event → NO
10'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 10'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
10'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (70%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 15'integrated home 70% → OVER
15'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 20'window closed, no event → NO
15'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 20'window closed, no event → NO
15'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 20'window closed, no event → NO
15'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (0)resolved
  1. 15'segment OPEN
  2. 30'counted 0 corner → UNDER
15'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (87%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 20'integrated home 87% → OVER
17'BPenalty outcomeScoredresolved⚠
award→outcome 80.5s; lock was a fixed 8.0s guess (no real taken marker) — safe here, but timing is unguaranteed.
  1. 17'penalty_awarded → OPEN
  2. 18'LOCK at +8.0s (fixed window — NO penalty_taken marker)
  3. 19'penalty_outcome: Scored → RESOLVE
19'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 19'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 34'next corner → P1 (after 936.7s)
19'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 19'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 20'next throw_in → P1 (after 71.4s)
20'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 25'window closed, no event → NO
20'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 25'window closed, no event → NO
20'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 22'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
20'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (28%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 25'integrated home 28% → UNDER
25'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 30'window closed, no event → NO
25'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 30'window closed, no event → NO
25'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 30'window closed, no event → NO
25'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (70%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 30'integrated home 70% → OVER
30'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 35'window closed, no event → NO
30'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 34'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
30'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 32'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
30'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (3)resolved
  1. 30'segment OPEN
  2. 45'counted 3 corner → UNDER
30'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (32%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 35'integrated home 32% → UNDER
34'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 34'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 35'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 35'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
35'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 40'window closed, no event → NO
35'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 37'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
35'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 35'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
35'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (91%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 40'integrated home 91% → OVER
37'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 37'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 37'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 38'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
38'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 38'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 38'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 38'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
38'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 38'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 83'next corner → P1 (after 2720.6s)
38'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 38'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 69'next throw_in → P1 (after 1863.9s)
40'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 45'window closed, no event → NO
40'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 45'window closed, no event → NO
40'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 45'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
40'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (64%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 45'integrated home 64% → OVER
45'AGoal in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 45'window OPEN
45'ACorner in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 45'window OPEN
45'AShot in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 45'window OPEN
45'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)push
void: segment straddles a period boundary → push/prorate
  1. 45'segment OPEN
  2. 60'straddles boundary → PUSH
45'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)voided
void: segment straddles a period boundary
  1. 45'window OPEN
  2. 50'straddles boundary → VOID
50'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (0%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'integrated home 0% → UNDER
55'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (0%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'integrated home 0% → UNDER
57'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 57'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 83'next corner → P1 (after 1589.1s)
57'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 57'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 69'next throw_in → P1 (after 732.4s)
60'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (0)resolved
  1. 60'segment OPEN
  2. 75'counted 0 corner → UNDER
60'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (0%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'integrated home 0% → UNDER
65'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 70'window closed, no event → NO
65'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 70'window closed, no event → NO
65'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 70'window closed, no event → NO
65'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (63%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 70'integrated home 63% → OVER
70'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 75'window closed, no event → NO
70'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 75'window closed, no event → NO
70'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 75'window closed, no event → NO
70'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (39%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 75'integrated home 39% → UNDER
75'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 80'window closed, no event → NO
75'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 80'window closed, no event → NO
75'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 80'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
75'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (2)resolved
  1. 75'segment OPEN
  2. 90'counted 2 corner → UNDER
75'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (26%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 80'integrated home 26% → UNDER
75'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 75'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 83'next corner → P1 (after 457.6s)
75'CNext throw-in: home/awayP2resolved
  1. 75'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 78'next throw_in → P2 (after 163.0s)
80'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 85'window closed, no event → NO
80'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 83'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
80'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 85'window closed, no event → NO
80'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (82%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 85'integrated home 82% → OVER
83'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved⚠
⚠ a corner landed 5.8s AFTER the 30.0s phase window — no set-piece id means it can't be excluded with certainty; window length is a guess.
  1. 83'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 83'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 84'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
84'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 84'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 84'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 84'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
85'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 90'window closed, no event → NO
85'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 90'window closed, no event → NO
85'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 90'window closed, no event → NO
85'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (22%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 90'integrated home 22% → UNDER
90'AGoal in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 95'goal (confirmed) inside window → YES
90'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 95'window closed, no event → NO
90'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 95'window closed, no event → NO
90'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (0)resolved
  1. 90'segment OPEN
  2. 105'counted 0 corner → UNDER
90'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (75%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 95'integrated home 75% → OVER
94'CNext corner: home/awayvoided
void: no qualifying event before period end
  1. 94'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 113'no next event → VOID
94'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 94'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 102'next throw_in → P1 (after 478.4s)
95'AGoal in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 99'goal (confirmed) inside window → YES
95'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 100'window closed, no event → NO
95'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 100'window closed, no event → NO
95'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (66%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 100'integrated home 66% → OVER
100'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 105'window closed, no event → NO
100'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 105'window closed, no event → NO
100'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 102'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
100'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (74%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 105'integrated home 74% → OVER
105'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 110'window closed, no event → NO
105'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 110'window closed, no event → NO
105'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 107'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
105'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)push
void: segment straddles a period boundary → push/prorate
  1. 105'segment OPEN
  2. 120'straddles boundary → PUSH
105'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (51%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 110'integrated home 51% → OVER
110'AGoal in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 110'window OPEN
110'ACorner in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 110'window OPEN
110'AShot in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 110'window OPEN
110'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)voided
void: segment straddles a period boundary
  1. 110'window OPEN
  2. 115'straddles boundary → VOID

Workarounds applied (no real data exists): set-piece Lock = fixed 8s window after the award (no *_taken marker); corner-outcome phase = 30s window (no set-piece id); possession = self-integrated from the Possession stream (basis unconfirmed). The ⚠ flags are exactly where these guesses could mis-settle on real data.