PulsePlayPulsePlayExplorerLive markets · World Cup + friendlies

Settlement simulation

Australia vs Turkey (20) · fixture #17926689 replayed through the PulsePlay A–E market state machines · 128 market instances · 23 gap-bites (settlement-integrity risks from the missing-data workarounds).

Per-archetype outcomes

A · Rolling window
72 instances
66 resolved
6 voided
B · Set-piece outcome
12 instances
12 resolved
1 gap-bites
C · Next-event
12 instances
12 resolved
D · Segment O/U
8 instances
6 resolved
2 push
E · Possession
24 instances
22 resolved
2 voided
22 gap-bites

Market instances

128 shown
0'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 5'window closed, no event → NO
0'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 3'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
0'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 3'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
0'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (3)resolved
  1. 0'segment OPEN
  2. 15'counted 3 corner → UNDER
0'CNext corner: home/awayP2resolved
  1. 0'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 3'next corner → P2 (after 167.2s)
0'CNext throw-in: home/awayP2resolved
  1. 0'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 0'next throw_in → P2 (after 20.6s)
0'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (17%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 5'integrated home 17% → UNDER
3'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
⚠ a shot landed 6.9s AFTER the 30.0s phase window — no set-piece id means it can't be excluded with certainty; window length is a guess.
  1. 3'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 3'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 3'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
4'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 4'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 4'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 4'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
5'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 10'window closed, no event → NO
5'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 7'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
5'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 6'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
5'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (36%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 10'integrated home 36% → UNDER
7'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 7'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 7'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 8'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
10'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 15'window closed, no event → NO
10'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 15'window closed, no event → NO
10'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 15'window closed, no event → NO
10'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (55%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 15'integrated home 55% → OVER
15'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 20'window closed, no event → NO
15'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 16'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
15'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 18'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
15'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (1)resolved
  1. 15'segment OPEN
  2. 30'counted 1 corner → UNDER
15'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (58%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 20'integrated home 58% → OVER
16'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 16'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 16'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 17'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
19'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 19'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 67'next corner → P1 (after 2889.3s)
19'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 19'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 19'next throw_in → P1 (after 10.5s)
20'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 25'window closed, no event → NO
20'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 25'window closed, no event → NO
20'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 25'window closed, no event → NO
20'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (78%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 25'integrated home 78% → OVER
25'AGoal in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 28'goal (confirmed) inside window → YES
25'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 30'window closed, no event → NO
25'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 26'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
25'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (68%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 30'integrated home 68% → OVER
30'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 35'window closed, no event → NO
30'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 35'window closed, no event → NO
30'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 35'window closed, no event → NO
30'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (0)resolved
  1. 30'segment OPEN
  2. 45'counted 0 corner → UNDER
30'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (25%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 35'integrated home 25% → UNDER
35'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 40'window closed, no event → NO
35'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 40'window closed, no event → NO
35'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 35'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
35'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (61%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 40'integrated home 61% → OVER
39'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 39'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 67'next corner → P1 (after 1730.1s)
39'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 39'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 40'next throw_in → P1 (after 74.5s)
40'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 45'window closed, no event → NO
40'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 45'window closed, no event → NO
40'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 41'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
40'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (47%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 45'integrated home 47% → UNDER
45'AGoal in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 45'window OPEN
45'ACorner in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 45'window OPEN
45'AShot in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 45'window OPEN
45'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)push
void: segment straddles a period boundary → push/prorate
  1. 45'segment OPEN
  2. 60'straddles boundary → PUSH
45'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)voided
void: segment straddles a period boundary
  1. 45'window OPEN
  2. 50'straddles boundary → VOID
50'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (100%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'integrated home 100% → OVER
55'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (100%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'integrated home 100% → OVER
58'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 58'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 67'next corner → P1 (after 570.8s)
58'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 58'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 75'next throw_in → P1 (after 1010.7s)
60'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (4)resolved
  1. 60'segment OPEN
  2. 75'counted 4 corner → UNDER
60'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (97%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'integrated home 97% → OVER
65'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 70'window closed, no event → NO
65'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 67'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
65'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 66'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
65'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (38%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 70'integrated home 38% → UNDER
67'BCorner outcomeshot_no_goalresolved
  1. 67'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 68'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 68'phase window closes (+30.0s) → shot_no_goal
70'BCorner outcomeshot_no_goalresolved
  1. 70'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 70'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 70'phase window closes (+30.0s) → shot_no_goal
70'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 75'window closed, no event → NO
70'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 70'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
70'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 70'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
70'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (69%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 75'integrated home 69% → OVER
70'BCorner outcomeshot_no_goalresolved
  1. 70'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 70'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 71'phase window closes (+30.0s) → shot_no_goal
73'BCorner outcomeshot_no_goalresolved
  1. 73'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 73'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 73'phase window closes (+30.0s) → shot_no_goal
75'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 80'window closed, no event → NO
75'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 76'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
75'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 76'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
75'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (1)resolved
  1. 75'segment OPEN
  2. 90'counted 1 corner → UNDER
75'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (49%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 80'integrated home 49% → UNDER
76'BCorner outcomeshot_no_goalresolved
  1. 76'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 76'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 77'phase window closes (+30.0s) → shot_no_goal
77'CNext corner: home/awayP2resolved
  1. 77'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 92'next corner → P2 (after 875.1s)
77'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 77'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 78'next throw_in → P1 (after 28.2s)
80'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 85'window closed, no event → NO
80'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 85'window closed, no event → NO
80'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 82'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
80'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (12%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 85'integrated home 12% → UNDER
85'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 90'window closed, no event → NO
85'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 90'window closed, no event → NO
85'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 85'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
85'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (72%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 90'integrated home 72% → OVER
90'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 95'window closed, no event → NO
90'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 92'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
90'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 92'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
90'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (2)resolved
  1. 90'segment OPEN
  2. 105'counted 2 corner → UNDER
90'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (51%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 95'integrated home 51% → OVER
92'BCorner outcomeshot_no_goalresolved
  1. 92'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 92'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 92'phase window closes (+30.0s) → shot_no_goal
95'AGoal in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 95'goal (confirmed) inside window → YES
95'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 99'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
95'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 96'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
95'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (55%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 100'integrated home 55% → OVER
97'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 97'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 99'next corner → P1 (after 137.5s)
97'CNext throw-in: home/awayP2resolved
  1. 97'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 98'next throw_in → P2 (after 70.7s)
99'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 99'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 99'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 99'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
100'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 105'window closed, no event → NO
100'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 105'window closed, no event → NO
100'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 101'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
100'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (24%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 105'integrated home 24% → UNDER
105'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 110'window closed, no event → NO
105'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 110'window closed, no event → NO
105'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 105'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
105'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)push
void: segment straddles a period boundary → push/prorate
  1. 105'segment OPEN
  2. 120'straddles boundary → PUSH
105'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (26%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 110'integrated home 26% → UNDER
110'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 110'window OPEN
  2. 115'window closed, no event → NO
110'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 110'window OPEN
  2. 114'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
110'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 110'window OPEN
  2. 114'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
110'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (21%)resolved
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 110'window OPEN
  2. 115'integrated home 21% → UNDER
114'BCorner outcomeanother_corner_wonresolved
  1. 114'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 114'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 114'phase window closes (+30.0s) → another_corner_won
115'AGoal in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 115'window OPEN
115'ACorner in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 115'window OPEN
115'AShot in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 115'window OPEN
115'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)voided
void: segment straddles a period boundary
  1. 115'window OPEN
  2. 120'straddles boundary → VOID

Workarounds applied (no real data exists): set-piece Lock = fixed 8s window after the award (no *_taken marker); corner-outcome phase = 30s window (no set-piece id); possession = self-integrated from the Possession stream (basis unconfirmed). The ⚠ flags are exactly where these guesses could mis-settle on real data.