PulsePlayPulsePlayExplorerLive markets · World Cup + friendlies
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Settlement simulation

Poland vs Nigeria (2–2) · fixture #17932445 replayed through the PulsePlay A–E market state machines · 124 market instances · 23 gap-bites (settlement-integrity risks from the missing-data workarounds).

Per-archetype outcomes

A · Rolling window
72 instances
66 resolved
6 voided
B · Set-piece outcome
8 instances
8 resolved
⚠ 1 gap-bites
C · Next-event
12 instances
12 resolved
D · Segment O/U
8 instances
6 resolved
2 push
E · Possession
24 instances
22 resolved
2 voided
⚠ 22 gap-bites

Market instances

124 shown
0'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 5'window closed, no event → NO
0'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 5'window closed, no event → NO
0'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 3'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
0'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (2)resolved
  1. 0'segment OPEN
  2. 15'counted 2 corner → UNDER
0'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 0'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 6'next corner → P1 (after 381.1s)
0'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 0'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 1'next throw_in → P1 (after 65.5s)
0'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (36%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 0'window OPEN
  2. 5'integrated home 36% → UNDER
5'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 10'window closed, no event → NO
5'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 6'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
5'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 10'window closed, no event → NO
5'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (48%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 5'window OPEN
  2. 10'integrated home 48% → UNDER
6'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 6'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 6'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 7'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
7'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 7'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 7'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 8'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
10'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 15'window closed, no event → NO
10'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 15'window closed, no event → NO
10'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 14'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
10'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (59%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 10'window OPEN
  2. 15'integrated home 59% → OVER
15'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 20'window closed, no event → NO
15'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 20'window closed, no event → NO
15'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 18'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
15'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (0)resolved
  1. 15'segment OPEN
  2. 30'counted 0 corner → UNDER
15'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (57%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 15'window OPEN
  2. 20'integrated home 57% → OVER
20'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 20'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 35'next corner → P1 (after 932.4s)
20'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 20'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 26'next throw_in → P1 (after 387.5s)
20'AGoal in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 24'goal (confirmed) inside window → YES
20'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 25'window closed, no event → NO
20'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 25'window closed, no event → NO
20'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (13%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 20'window OPEN
  2. 25'integrated home 13% → UNDER
25'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 30'window closed, no event → NO
25'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 30'window closed, no event → NO
25'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 27'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
25'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (64%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 25'window OPEN
  2. 30'integrated home 64% → OVER
30'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 35'window closed, no event → NO
30'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 35'window closed, no event → NO
30'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 35'window closed, no event → NO
30'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (3)resolved
  1. 30'segment OPEN
  2. 45'counted 3 corner → UNDER
30'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (36%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 30'window OPEN
  2. 35'integrated home 36% → UNDER
35'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 40'window closed, no event → NO
35'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 35'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
35'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 40'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
35'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (35%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 35'window OPEN
  2. 40'integrated home 35% → UNDER
35'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 35'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 35'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 36'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
39'CNext corner: home/awayP2resolved
  1. 39'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 40'next corner → P2 (after 46.2s)
39'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 39'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 39'next throw_in → P1 (after 1.8s)
40'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 40'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 40'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 40'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
40'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 45'window closed, no event → NO
40'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 45'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
40'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 41'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
40'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (53%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 40'window OPEN
  2. 45'integrated home 53% → OVER
45'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 45'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 45'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 45'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
45'AGoal in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 45'window OPEN
45'ACorner in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 45'window OPEN
45'AShot in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 45'window OPEN
45'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)push
void: segment straddles a period boundary → push/prorate
  1. 45'segment OPEN
  2. 60'straddles boundary → PUSH
45'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)voided
void: segment straddles a period boundary
  1. 45'window OPEN
  2. 50'straddles boundary → VOID
50'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'window closed, no event → NO
50'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (0%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 50'window OPEN
  2. 55'integrated home 0% → UNDER
55'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'window closed, no event → NO
55'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (0%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 55'window OPEN
  2. 60'integrated home 0% → UNDER
59'CNext corner: home/awayP2resolved
  1. 59'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 94'next corner → P2 (after 2120.4s)
59'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 59'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 67'next throw_in → P1 (after 508.9s)
60'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'window closed, no event → NO
60'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (0)resolved
  1. 60'segment OPEN
  2. 75'counted 0 corner → UNDER
60'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (0%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 60'window OPEN
  2. 65'integrated home 0% → UNDER
65'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 70'window closed, no event → NO
65'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 70'window closed, no event → NO
65'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 70'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
65'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (46%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 65'window OPEN
  2. 70'integrated home 46% → UNDER
70'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 75'window closed, no event → NO
70'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 75'window closed, no event → NO
70'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 75'window closed, no event → NO
70'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (54%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 70'window OPEN
  2. 75'integrated home 54% → OVER
75'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 80'window closed, no event → NO
75'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 80'window closed, no event → NO
75'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 75'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
75'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (0)resolved
  1. 75'segment OPEN
  2. 90'counted 0 corner → UNDER
75'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (54%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 75'window OPEN
  2. 80'integrated home 54% → OVER
78'CNext corner: home/awayP2resolved
  1. 78'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 94'next corner → P2 (after 946.5s)
78'CNext throw-in: home/awayP2resolved
  1. 78'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 81'next throw_in → P2 (after 146.0s)
80'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 85'window closed, no event → NO
80'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 85'window closed, no event → NO
80'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 84'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
80'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (68%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 80'window OPEN
  2. 85'integrated home 68% → OVER
85'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 90'window closed, no event → NO
85'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 90'window closed, no event → NO
85'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 90'window closed, no event → NO
85'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (47%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 85'window OPEN
  2. 90'integrated home 47% → UNDER
90'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 95'window closed, no event → NO
90'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 94'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
90'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 93'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
90'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)UNDER (1)resolved
  1. 90'segment OPEN
  2. 105'counted 1 corner → UNDER
90'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (24%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 90'window OPEN
  2. 95'integrated home 24% → UNDER
94'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 94'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 94'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 95'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
95'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 100'window closed, no event → NO
95'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 100'window closed, no event → NO
95'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 100'window closed, no event → NO
95'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)UNDER (25%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 95'window OPEN
  2. 100'integrated home 25% → UNDER
97'BPenalty outcomeScoredresolved⚠
award→outcome 104.3s; lock was a fixed 8.0s guess (no real taken marker) — safe here, but timing is unguaranteed.
  1. 97'penalty_awarded → OPEN
  2. 97'LOCK at +8.0s (fixed window — NO penalty_taken marker)
  3. 99'penalty_outcome: Scored → RESOLVE
98'CNext corner: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 98'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 106'next corner → P1 (after 509.0s)
98'CNext throw-in: home/awayP1resolved
  1. 98'OPEN (scheduler tick)
  2. 103'next throw_in → P1 (after 295.2s)
100'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 105'window closed, no event → NO
100'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 105'window closed, no event → NO
100'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 102'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
100'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (67%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 100'window OPEN
  2. 105'integrated home 67% → OVER
105'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 110'window closed, no event → NO
105'ACorner in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 106'corner (confirmed) inside window → YES
105'AShot in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 110'window closed, no event → NO
105'DTotal corners 15-min seg (O/U 4)push
void: segment straddles a period boundary → push/prorate
  1. 105'segment OPEN
  2. 120'straddles boundary → PUSH
105'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (64%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 105'window OPEN
  2. 110'integrated home 64% → OVER
106'BCorner outcomecleared_no_shotresolved
  1. 106'corner_awarded → OPEN
  2. 106'LOCK +8.0s (no corner_taken marker)
  3. 107'phase window closes (+30.0s) → cleared_no_shot
110'AGoal in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 110'window OPEN
  2. 115'window closed, no event → NO
110'ACorner in next 5 minNOresolved
  1. 110'window OPEN
  2. 115'window closed, no event → NO
110'AShot in next 5 minYESresolved
  1. 110'window OPEN
  2. 112'shot (confirmed) inside window → YES
110'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)OVER (54%)resolved⚠
self-integrated from the Possession stream — basis (time-in-control vs danger heuristic) & final-vs-interim UNCONFIRMED by TxOdds.
  1. 110'window OPEN
  2. 115'integrated home 54% → OVER
115'AGoal in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 115'window OPEN
115'ACorner in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 115'window OPEN
115'AShot in next 5 minvoided
void: window straddles a period boundary (HT/FT)
  1. 115'window OPEN
115'EHome possession O/U 50% (5min)voided
void: segment straddles a period boundary
  1. 115'window OPEN
  2. 120'straddles boundary → VOID

Workarounds applied (no real data exists): set-piece Lock = fixed 8s window after the award (no *_taken marker); corner-outcome phase = 30s window (no set-piece id); possession = self-integrated from the Possession stream (basis unconfirmed). The ⚠ flags are exactly where these guesses could mis-settle on real data.